Tom VanHeuvelen
@tvanheuvelen.bsky.social
1.2K followers 970 following 200 posts
Associate Professor of Sociology at the University of Minnesota My blog: https://asocial.substack.com/
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tvanheuvelen.bsky.social
New post at the blog - Affluence Consumption is Decoupling: Couples Inherit Parents’ Earnings from their Husbands: Universal Basic Income Doesn’t Do Anything for Child Development: Building Costs Don’t Drive Housing Prices

asocial.substack.com/p/inequality...

Hope you find it interesting!
tvanheuvelen.bsky.social
Well, that is _super_ interesting. Great work, yet again!
Reposted by Tom VanHeuvelen
ophastings.bsky.social
The GSS asked the same people about their childhood income rank three different times. 56% changed their answer, even though what was trying to be measured couldn’t change! We dig into this in a new article at @socialindicators.bsky.social. 



doi.org/10.1007/s112...

🧵👇 (1/5)
Growing up Different(ly than Last Time We Asked): Social Status and Changing Reports of Childhood Income Rank - Social Indicators Research
How we remember our past can be shaped by the realities of our present. This study examines how changes to present circumstances influence retrospective reports of family income rank at age 16. While retrospective survey data can be used to assess the long-term effects of childhood conditions, present-day circumstances may “anchor” memories, causing shifts in how individuals recall and report past experiences. Using panel data from the 2006–2014 General Social Surveys (8,602 observations from 2,883 individuals in the United States), we analyze how changes in objective and subjective indicators of current social status—income, financial satisfaction, and perceived income relative to others—are associated with changes in reports of childhood income rank, and how this varies by sex and race/ethnicity. Fixed-effects models reveal no significant association between changes in income and in childhood income rank. However, changes in subjective measures of social status show contrasting effects, as increases in current financial satisfaction are associated with decreases in childhood income rank, but increases in current perceived relative income are associated with increases in childhood income rank. We argue these opposing effects follow from theories of anchoring in recall bias. We further find these effects are stronger among males but are consistent across racial/ethnic groups. This demographic heterogeneity suggests that recall bias is not evenly distributed across the population and has important implications for how different groups perceive their own pasts. Our findings further highlight the malleability of retrospective perceptions and their sensitivity to current social conditions, offering methodological insights into survey reliability and recall bias.
doi.org
tvanheuvelen.bsky.social
At the blog, I wrote about two very interesting recent methods articles - Inference to the Best Explanation and External/Construct Validity.

Very thoughtful pushback against the ascendancy of the credibility revolution.

asocial.substack.com/p/inequality...

Hope you enjoy!
Inequality Readers. Generally, My Best Guess
IBE, in y.
asocial.substack.com
Reposted by Tom VanHeuvelen
davebrady72.bsky.social
The Association for Public Policy Analysis & Management has announced that Zach Parolin @zparolin.bsky.social has won the David Kershaw Award.

www.appam.org/zachary-paro...

Enthusiastic congratulations to my good friend and occasional collaborator Zach!
Zachary Parolin, Wins 25th David N. Kershaw Award - APPAM News - News | APPAM
www.appam.org
tvanheuvelen.bsky.social
Bruderl strikes again.
tsrauf.bsky.social
Life satisfaction mostly declines with age. Previous findings (esp. the famous U-shaped age-SWB trajectory) were artifacts of misspecified models. doi.org/10.1093/esr/...
Reposted by Tom VanHeuvelen
samfriedman.bsky.social
New paper! Led by the brilliant @blaabaek.bsky.social and based on library borrowing data for the entire 🇩🇰 population. Thread below
Reposted by Tom VanHeuvelen
zparolin.bsky.social
New WP: We study how minimum wage increases affect poverty and food hardship in the U.S from 1981-2019. Different from recent work, we study the Supplemental Poverty Measure + two measures of food hardship, factor in cost-of-living differences, and more. www.iza.org/publications...
tvanheuvelen.bsky.social
Roshan's one of, if not the, best sociologist studying global inequality these days.
Reposted by Tom VanHeuvelen
povertyscholar.bsky.social
My book w/@profsorelle.bsky.social will be out in January! These ideas have brewed since I interned at Queens Legal Services 20 years ago. The book is for anyone who cares about people, justice, power & democracy. Much more to share more in the coming months!

press.princeton.edu/books/hardco...
Uncivil Democracy
How the civil legal system undermines the political lives of marginalized communities
press.princeton.edu
tvanheuvelen.bsky.social
You had a twitter thread awhile ago that showed the householder composition error. It was v clarifying for me. At the time Noah Smith and J Twenge had incorrect articles on the topic. Really appreciate the public work you do on this topic.
Reposted by Tom VanHeuvelen
drjenh.bsky.social
🚨 We’re HIRING! 🚨
The Department of Sociology at Stony Brook University (SUNY) is seeking two tenure-track Assistant Professors in Global Inequality & Justice (start Fall 2026).

Come join a vibrant, growing department at New York’s top public university!
📍 Apply here: apply.interfolio.com/172669
tvanheuvelen.bsky.social
also - my memory is 100% the same. it's like there's just a pile of sand between the ears.
tvanheuvelen.bsky.social
I guess - It's a paper that moves knowledge forward, but that doesn't lean heavily on ed expansion's causal effect on the terms set in recent literature (e.g. no DiD, no search for an exogenous shock), that doesn't feel a need to align with the Causal Mixtape (a great book!)
tvanheuvelen.bsky.social
Ha! that’d be quite the bold title.

It is a really fantastic article. I have given it to a few students as a model for using in testing theory.
Reposted by Tom VanHeuvelen
ppraeg.bsky.social
Quite amazed by the articles that @sociologicalsci.bsky.social puts out on a regular basis -- this one here by Lewis Anderson: imaginative, bold, well-informed, an incredible eye for detail, this will really be moving the field forward

doi.org/10.15195/v12...
tvanheuvelen.bsky.social
I tried uploading my online course's first assignment to Claude and to Gemini. I asked them both to do my assignment.

One said: don't cheat!
The other said: Sure. Here you go.

Which of these AI systems do you think the University of Minnesota has partnered with?
tvanheuvelen.bsky.social
Unionized careers boost up wealth. Very interesting article by Purdue's Alec Rhodes:

academic.oup.com/sf/advance-a....
tvanheuvelen.bsky.social
Yup. I sort-of-joke that the research and teaching of faculty and grads is just a PR front for the true purpose of UMN: the red tape tangle.
tvanheuvelen.bsky.social
Interesting essay in Contemporary Sociology by @stephanieternullo.bsky.social - summarizes several books from the last decade on labor decline's broader social and political consequences.

Somehow her new book was off my radar - not anymore!

journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...
The Demise of Organized Labor and the Rise of Postindustrial Populism - Stephanie Ternullo, 2025
journals.sagepub.com
tvanheuvelen.bsky.social
Yeah - I'd never thought of that point, but it's an important one. We're really fortunate to have Natasha in the discipline.