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      I’ve written for @financialtimes.com about the need for belief in the future to get things built on.ft.com/47cO3Qs Why optimists build better infrastructure
    
      
          Why optimists build better infrastructure
          History credits the Victorians for their grand — and enduring — schemes but we need our eyes on the future to emulate them
        
          
          on.ft.com
        
      
  
        
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      I have a new paper out in Synthese! It’s about experimental strategies in the historical sciences, using case studies from origins of life research.
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
      
          link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Re-construction or re-invention? Experimental strategies in the historical sciences - Synthese
          Synthese - Prototypical historical sciences are in the business of reconstructing the past based on traces. Experimental research into the past often seems precluded by the very nature of...
        
          
          link.springer.com
        
      
  
        
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      Query for causation folk: correlations due to a common cause C are screened off by conditioning on C. So there’s a selection artefact due to doing this inadvertently – i.e., missing the correlation, by selecting subjects who share a value of C. Does this have a name? Are there good real examples?