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Reposted by Prof Ray Wills

Australian Centre for Excellence in Antarctic Science (ACEAS) @antarcticsciaus.bsky.social · 6h

🌍 New research shows how fossil fuel emissions translate directly into human and ecological impacts – from extreme heat exposure to coral loss.

This is a valuable tool for policy makers and insurers assessing the true costs of fossil fuel developments.

🔗 Read more: www.nature.com/articles/s44...

Quantifying the regional to global climate impacts of individual fossil fuel projects to inform decision-making - npj Climate Action

npj Climate Action - Quantifying the regional to global climate impacts of individual fossil fuel projects to inform decision-making

www.nature.com

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Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 19h

In the end, USA self harm won't harm rest of world, it only harms US
bsky.app/profile/prof...
Up to June 2025, renewables generation continues to grow in the USA
Eventually Trump's tiny hands will slow growth
But China's renewables growth will be much greater than any fall Trump causes in the US

Up to June 2025, renewables generation continues to grow in the USA

Up to June 2025, renewables generation - solar and wind - continues to grow in the USA

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Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 21h

Gas and high coal penetration the drivers of expensive, volatile power prices

Renewable penetration above 40% brings lowest volume-weighted prices
reneweconomy.com.au/gas-and-high... @reneweconomy.com.au

Here's some 5 minute data 40ct25-110ct25 to add to the mix

Gas 5 minute intervals price - more than just a little bit of gas associated with a high volume-weighted price

Coal 5 minute intervals price - adding coal generation takes the volume-weighted price higher - and higher

Renewables 5 minute intervals price - renewables penetration above 40% brings the cheapest volume-weighted price

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Reposted by Prof Ray Wills

Kate-Eviva @kate-eviva.bsky.social · 23h

We know this is what they do! The scandals have been running for years. How come nothing has been done? Please reform outsourcing contracts and internal SES #capacity and #accountability #auspol
@murray.senate.gov
@jimchalmers.bsky.social

Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 23h

Firms that provide services to government that on behalf of a private client create actual lies intended to mislead government policymakers, pervert national strategies, fraudulently creating advantage for clients, govt ought terminate contracts, ban firm - and prosecute
bsky.app/profile/prof...

Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 1d

If a firm like EY that provides services to government, but on behalf of a client creates disinformation that purports to be credible (AKA lies), thereby misleads govt policymakers, perverts national climate strategy to expand gas, delays energy transition, govt ought terminate contracts, ban firm

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Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 23h

Firms that provide services to government that on behalf of a private client create actual lies intended to mislead government policymakers, pervert national strategies, fraudulently creating advantage for clients, govt ought terminate contracts, ban firm - and prosecute
bsky.app/profile/prof...

Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 1d

If a firm like EY that provides services to government, but on behalf of a client creates disinformation that purports to be credible (AKA lies), thereby misleads govt policymakers, perverts national climate strategy to expand gas, delays energy transition, govt ought terminate contracts, ban firm

Mark Ogge @markogge.bsky.social · 1d

What do you get when Big Gas lobbyists AEP get scandal ridden consultants EY to do “modelling” to influence the Government’s policies?

www.abc.net.au/news/2025-10...

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Reposted by Prof Ray Wills

David Pocock @davidpocock.bsky.social · 1d

A new study published in Nature Climate Action finds Woodside’s Scarborough gas project could cause 100s of heat-related deaths & exposed 500k people to unprecedented heat.

Govt can’t claim climate leadership while approving projects like this.
www.afr.com//policy/ener...

Forrest-backed study links Woodside mega-project to hundreds of deaths

The research, conducted by academics at ANU, suggests the massive offshore gas project off the coast of Western Australia will cause warming of 0.00039 degrees.

www.afr.com

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Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 1d

ping @chrisbowenmp.bsky.social @jimchalmers.bsky.social

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Reposted by Prof Ray Wills

Jill Turner @jillhturner.bsky.social · 1d

Little Penguins.

Our local small colony on Penguin Island south of Rockingham, WA. Conservation efforts continue by university staff, Naragebup Environment Centre naragebup.org.au + other volunteers.
www.penguinisland.com

#birdoftheyear #birding #birdwatching #birdphotography

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Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 1d

Well done, Australia, we've eradicated another species of mammal - only 80 more threatened mammal species to go

bsky.app/profile/prof...

"Grim death, how foul and loathsome is thine image"
The Taming of the Shrew, Shakespeare

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Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 1d

If this is the fastest energy transition in human history, why would it slow down?

Latest from @iea.org shows solar *not* tripling from 2022 (per hi case scenario) www.iea.org/reports/rene...

Here's my model projection from 2017
And from 2025 (mostly as projected 2017)
Solar on track to triple

Latest from @iea.org shows solar just doubling from 2022 (not tripling per hi case scenario)

Latest from @iea.org shows tripling solar hi case scenario (end bar)

Future Smart projection from 2017 - compare next graph from 2025 with 8 more years of data, and pretty close to the 2017 model output

Future Smart projection from 2025 - compare last graph from 2017 with 8 more years of data pretty close to the 2017 model output

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Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 1d

If a firm like EY that provides services to government, but on behalf of a client creates disinformation that purports to be credible (AKA lies), thereby misleads govt policymakers, perverts national climate strategy to expand gas, delays energy transition, govt ought terminate contracts, ban firm

Mark Ogge @markogge.bsky.social · 1d

What do you get when Big Gas lobbyists AEP get scandal ridden consultants EY to do “modelling” to influence the Government’s policies?

www.abc.net.au/news/2025-10...

ACCC urged to probe 'distorted research' behind government gas policy

Advocacy group Climate Integrity has accused the gas industry of using "distorted research", produced by the accounting firm EY, to influence the Australian government's Future Gas Strategy.

www.abc.net.au

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Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 2d

If a firm that is a govt service provider like EY, on behalf of a client, produces sophisticated disinformation that purports to be credible, and so misleads govt policymakers, perverts national climate strategy to expand gas production, and delays energy transition, ought lose all govt contracts

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Reposted by Prof Ray Wills

Peter (Wry T) Wright @wrt-t.bsky.social · 2d

Advocacy group Climate Integrity has asked the competition regulator to investigate claims made by Australian Energy Producers, supported by EY modelling.

It alleges the claims are a form of disinformation called "data washing".
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-10...

Regulator asked to investigate claim 'distorted research' behind government gas policy

Advocacy group Climate Integrity has accused the gas industry of using "distorted research", produced by the accounting firm EY, to influence the Australian government's Future Gas Strategy.

www.abc.net.au

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Reposted by Prof Ray Wills

Guillaume E 🇫🇷🇺🇸🇺🇦🇪🇺 @guillaumee.bsky.social · 2d

Cool stats

Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · Nov 27

Better to farm solar for energy
than to farm crops to use for biofuels

Far better

1 hectare annual yield:

2t soy bean
➡️ 800 litres biodiesel ➡️ 8.29 MWh

70t sugar cane
➡️ 7000 litres ethanol ➡️ 57.5 MWh

600 kW solar
➡️ ➡️ 900 MWh (low estimate)

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Reposted by Prof Ray Wills

Δημήτρης Δαλαγιώργος @dalagiorgos.bsky.social · 2d

Βιοδυναμικά φωτοβολταϊκά; /s

Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · Dec 1

Farm with solar energy
Agrivoltaics increased grape yield up to 60%

2 vineyards of French biz Sun’Agri increased grape yields by 20-60% in 2024, vs areas with no solar
PV modules helped moderate temperature extremes, reducing summer heat and winter cold
www.pv-magazine.com/2024/11/29/a...

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Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 2d

Cheapest 'fuel' is behind the meter
Farmers best to power up farm with their own solar for energy
than to farm crops to use to make biofuels

And when you do, most of the farm still left for food crops
bsky.app/profile/prof...

Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · Nov 27

Better to farm solar for energy
than to farm crops to use for biofuels

Far better

1 hectare annual yield:

2t soy bean
➡️ 800 litres biodiesel ➡️ 8.29 MWh

70t sugar cane
➡️ 7000 litres ethanol ➡️ 57.5 MWh

600 kW solar
➡️ ➡️ 900 MWh (low estimate)

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Reposted by Prof Ray Wills

T&E @transportenvironment.org · 5d

NEW: Biofuels globally emit more than the fossil fuels they replace, our latest study shows.

The first-of-a-kind study looks at global biofuels production today and the potential impacts of government biofuel targets.
🧵⤵️

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Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 2d

Imagine a government had legislated for
return of asbestos use
or
removing speed limits
or
unregulated pollution (well, I guess they are)
or
some other unmitigated, MAGA-lite harmful nonsense

Renew Economy @reneweconomy.com.au · 5d

Queensland LNP scraps coal closure timelines, delays Borumba pumped hydro, scales back Copperstring link, supports gas and offers tiny morsel to renewables.

reneweconomy.com.au

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Reposted by Prof Ray Wills

Ian M. Mackay, PhD (he/him) 🦠🤧🧬📑🦟🧀 @mackayim.bsky.social · 3d

🌞Total land required to replace coal fired energy
🌞Example assumes all solar:120,000 hectares
🌞 That’s less than 0.016 percent of Australia’s total land currently used for agriculture
🌞 Australian agriculture currently accounts for 58% of our land use
🌞And agrisolar = panels + grass/sheep etc

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Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 2d

Actually even better: in Australia, solar farms are often just rooftops
Current 4.25m homes with solar, 27.6GW solar on rooftops
11m (38%) Aus homes
If we aim for 84GW solar (all of Aus capacity), 2/3 solar can be on roofs, so we only need 40,000ha for utility solar farms
bsky.app/profile/prof...

Solar by system size - virtually everything under 14kW is on a rooftop including 4.25m homes

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Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 2d

Better to farm solar for energy
than to farm crops to use for biofuels
But when you do, most of the farm still left for crops
And with improved revenues from economic diversification, also room for biodiversity protection
A thread
bsky.app/profile/prof...

Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 20d

Solar / wind / battery farms can be leveraged not just to generate electricity, but to deliver biodiversity protection, habitat restoration, and threatened species recovery

New solar battery project seeks green tick might save threatened species eaten by cows
reneweconomy.com.au/new-solar-ba...

New holland honey eater on Banksia menziesii

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Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 2d

Better to farm solar for energy
than to farm crops to use for biofuels
But when you do, most of the farm still left for crops
bsky.app/profile/prof...

Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · Nov 27

Better to farm solar for energy
than to farm crops to use for biofuels

Far better

1 hectare annual yield:

2t soy bean
➡️ 800 litres biodiesel ➡️ 8.29 MWh

70t sugar cane
➡️ 7000 litres ethanol ➡️ 57.5 MWh

600 kW solar
➡️ ➡️ 900 MWh (low estimate)

3

Reposted by Prof Ray Wills

1EarthMedia @1earthmedia.bsky.social · 2d

The Knitting Nannas have gone global ... led by Aunt Tifa.

#AuntTifa #KnittingNannas #GrandmasUnite #UmbrellaSquad #IamAuntTifa

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Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 2d

Yes, tho' price spikes from market caps are a diminishing risk in a high-renewables system with strong interconnection and storage. “Burning stuff” is expensive and volatile; building more renewables and batteries leaves far fewer opportunities for market gaming or rorting

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Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 2d

By any measure, it most certainly is the opposite of good

bsky.app/profile/prof...

Prof Ray Wills @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · Aug 2

Been working in/around climate since 1988
Expert since ~mid-2000s

Interviews in 2007 and on, I said deadline for climate solutions in place by 2020

In interviews in 2025, I was right
We needed to act in 2020☹️

Now, we can only make things less bad
We still have lots of capacity to make it worse

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