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Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 13h

New Zealand, Talbot Mills poll:

Preferred prime minister

Hipkins (Labour-Centre-left): 24% (-1)
Luxon (National-Centre-right): 21% (+1)

+/- vs. 01-10 September 2025

Fieldwork: 01-10 October 2025
Sample size: 1,097

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

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Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 13h

New Zealand, Talbot Mills poll:

Labour (Centre-left): 35%
National (Centre-right): 29% (-2)
NZ First (*): 12% (+2)
Green (Green): 10%
ACT (Libertarian): 8% (+1)
Māori (Indigenous): 4%

+/- vs. 01-10 September 2025

Fieldwork: 01-10 October 2025
Sample size: 1,097

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

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Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 13h

New Zealand, Freshwater Strategy poll:

Preferred prime minister

Hipkins (Labour-Centre-left): 45% (+2)
Luxon (National-Centre-right): 36% (-1)

+/- vs. 12-15 June 2025

Fieldwork: 03-08 October 2025
Sample size: 1,050

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

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Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 13h

New Zealand, Freshwater Strategy poll:

Seat projection

National (Centre-right): 43 (-5)
Labour (Centre-left): 42 (+8)
NZ First (*): 14 (+6)
Green (Green): 11 (-4)
...

+/- vs. 2023 election

Fieldwork: 03-08 October 2025
Sample size: 1,050

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 13h

New Zealand, Freshwater Strategy poll:

Labour (Centre-left): 34%
National (Centre-right): 31% (-1)
NZ First (*): 11% (+3)
Green (Green): 9% (-2)
ACT (Libertarian): 9% (+1)
...

+/- vs. 12-15 June 2025

Fieldwork: 03-08 October 2025
Sample size: 1,050

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 14h

New Zealand, Verian poll:

Preferred Prime Minister

Luxon (National, Centre-right): 21% (+1)
Hipkins (Labour, Centre-left): 18% (-1)
Peters (NZ First, *): 8% (+1)
...

+/- vs. 02-06 August 2025

Fieldwork: 04-08 October 2025
Sample size: 1,014

➤ http://oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

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Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 14h

New Zealand, Verian poll:

Seat projection

National (Centre-right): 42
Labour (Centre-left): 40
Green (Green): 14 (+2)
NZ First (*): 12 (+1)
ACT (Libertarian): 9 (-1)
Māori (Indigenous): 6

+/- vs. 02-06 August 2025

Fieldwork: 04-08 October 2025
Sample size: 1,014

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 14h

New Zealand, Verian poll:

National (Centre-right): 34%
Labour (Centre-left): 32% (-1)
Green (Green): 11% (+1)
NZ First (*): 9%
ACT (Libertarian): 8%
...

+/- vs. 02-06 August 2025

Fieldwork: 04-08 October 2025
Sample size: 1,014

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 3d

New Zealand, Preliminary results:

Māori ward referendums, Aggregate vote share

Keep: 53.2%
Remove: 46.8%

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

3 6

Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 3d

New Zealand, Preliminary results:

Māori ward referendums, No. of councils voting Keep or Remove

Remove: 24
Keep: 18

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

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Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 3d

New Zealand, Preliminary results:

Christchurch mayoral election

Mauger (Ind.-*): 57.0% (-0.8)
Templeton (Ind.-*): 37.7% (+0.9)
Healey (Ind.-*): 1.6%
Nitro (Ind.-*): 1.4% (-0.1)
Anderson (Ind.-*): 1.3% (+0.1)
...

+/- vs. Progress result

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

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Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 3d

New Zealand, Preliminary results:

Wellington mayoral election

Little (Labour-Centre-left): 56.6% (-0.3)
Tiefenbacher (Ind.-*): 14.5% (-0.1)
Chung (Ind.-*): 10.8% (-0.6)
Baker (Ind.-*): 8.7% (+0.9)
Calvert (Ind.-*): 5.2%
...

+/- vs. Progress result

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

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Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 3d

New Zealand, Preliminary results:

Auckland mayoral election

Brown (Ind.-*): 53.0% (-1.3)
Leoni (Ind.-*): 22.5% (+1.6)
Johnston (Ind.-*): 8.0%
Stam (Ind.-*): 3.9%
Alcock (Ind.-*): 3.3%
Chuah (Ind.-*): 2.2%
...

+/- vs. Progress result

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

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Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 5d

Nauru, constitutional referendum:
➤ Eligible voters: ~8,845
➤ Polls open: 7AM—6PM local
➤ One Proposed amendment:
• Change parliamentary terms from 3 years to 4 years
➤ Passing requirement: approval by at least two thirds of voters

➤oceaniaelects.com/nauru

#Nauru

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Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 5d

Nauru, parliamentary election:

➤ Polls open: 9AM—6PM local
➤ Eligible voters: ~8,845
➤ Govt: non-partisan under President Adeang (ind.)
➤ Voting age: 20
➤ 19 seats
➤ 60 candidates
➤ Voting system: Dowdall system—multi-member ranked

➤oceaniaelects.com/nauru

#Nauru

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Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 5d

New Zealand, Progress results:

Christchurch mayoral election

Mauger (Ind.-*): 57.8% (+12.7)
Templeton (Ind.-*): 36.8% (new)
Healey (Ind.-*): 1.6% (new)
Nitro (Ind.-*): 1.5% (+0.6)
Anderson (Ind.-*): 1.2% (new)
...

+/- vs. 2022 result

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

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Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 5d

New Zealand, Progress results:

Wellington mayoral election

Little (Labour-Centre-left): 56.9% (+56.9)
Tiefenbacher (Ind.-*): 14.6% (+14.6)
Chung (Ind.-*): 11.4% (-3.0)
Baker (Ind.-*): 7.8% (+7.8)
Calvert (Ind.-*): 5.2% (+5.2)
...

+/- vs. 2022 result

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

1 3

Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 5d

New Zealand, Progress results:

Auckland mayoral election

Brown (Ind.-*): 54.3% (+9.4)
Leoni (Ind.-*): 20.9% (+20.9)
Johnston (Ind.-*): 8.0% (+6.8)
Stam (Ind.-*): 3.9% (+3.9)
Alcock (Ind.-*): 3.3% (+2.0)
...

+/- vs. 2022 result

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

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Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 8d

New Zealand, Curia poll:

Preferred prime minister

Hipkins (Labour-Centre-left): 21% (+3)
Luxon (National-Centre-right): 20% (-2)
...

+/- vs. 31 August - 02 September 2025

Fieldwork: 01-05 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

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Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 8d

New Zealand, Curia poll:

Seat projection

Labour (Centre-left): 40 (-2)
National (Centre-right): 38 (-4)
Green (Green): 15 (+2)
NZ First (*): 13 (+3)
...

+/- vs. 31 August - 02 September 2025

Fieldwork: 01-05 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

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Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 8d

New Zealand, Curia poll:

Labour (Centre-left): 31% (-3)
National (Centre-right): 30% (-3)
Green (Green): 12% (+1)
NZ First (*): 11% (+3)
ACT (Libertarian): 7%
...

+/- vs. 31 August - 02 September 2025

Fieldwork: 01-05 October 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

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Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 11d

New Zealand, Verian poll:

Māori ward referendum, Wellington

Keep: 59%
Remove: 41%

Fieldwork: 04-06 September 2025
Sample size: 403

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

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Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 14d

Australia, Essential Research poll:

Two-Party Preferred

ALP (Centre-left): 54% (-1)
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 47% (+2)

+/- vs. Last election result

Fieldwork: September 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

1

Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 14d

Australia, Essential Research poll:

ALP (Centre-left): 37% (+2)
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 29% (-3)
ONP (Right): 14% (+8)
GRN (Green): 12%
TOP (Right): 2%

+/- vs. Last election result

Fieldwork: September 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

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Oceania Elects @oceaniaelects.bsky.social · 14d

New Zealand, Verian poll:

Wellington mayoral election

Little (Labour-Centre-left): 58% (new)
Chung (Ind.-*): 16% (+2)
Tiefenbacher (Ind.-*): 10% (new)
...

+/- vs. 2022 election

Fieldwork: 04-06 September 2025
Sample size: 403

➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

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