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Sebastian Carl

@mrcaseb.com

1.4K followers 270 following 430 posts

Football 🏈 in the #nflverse | #rstats | #dataviz | #engineering | Justin Herbert is Elite https://mrcaseb.com/

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Sebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · Oct 30

Since many new users are looking at my profile I summarize some of my more recent #rstats dataviz here.
Thanks for following and/or sharing!

A table of implied NFL betting market probabilities of season outcomes, team ratings and strength of schedule after the 2024 preseason.

NFL point differential by game second of NFC North teams after their hot start into the 2024 season.

Win probability over the course of the 2024 week 6 NFL game Commanders @ Ravens

Does unit investment pay off? How much #NFL teams spend on their units (in 2024) vs. their respective PFF grades through week 2.
What stands out to me here is that the average defense grade is lower than the average offense grade although we see a decline in offensive performance so far

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Sebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · 7h

Does unit investment pay off?
Here is how much NFL teams spend on their units in 2025 vs. their respective PFF grades through week 6.
(You don't want your team in the red area which means "expensive and below average")

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Sebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · 2d

Shots fired at nflreadpy @tanho.ca

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Sebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · 5d

@hadley.nz is there an option in pkgdown to list reexports in the reference index? I am aware of the reexports site, e.g. dplyr.tidyverse.org/reference/re...,
but those don’t appear on the index.

I would like to have those on the index for cases where I outsource functions to separate packages.

Objects exported from other packages — reexports

These objects are imported from other packages. Follow the links below to see their documentation. magrittr %>% pillar type_sum tibble add_row, as_data_frame, as_tibble, data_frame, lst,...

dplyr.tidyverse.org

Sebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · 6d

When rewriting it, I realized it could be useful to do things like standings scenarios in the final 1-2 weeks of the season. That's why I added points tiebreakers. We were SO close to see tied SOS in the NFC West last season.

Sebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · 6d

Yeah it defaults to coinflip after SOS because the main use case are season simulations. And most sims do not simulate actual scores. Just game outcomes. So applying point tiebreakers doesn’t make any sense.

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Sebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · 6d

Pretty sure week 1 came down to either points scored or coin flip. My code returns the information about the applied tiebreaker.
Worth to be noted that nflseedR computes standings as "if season ended today". The are other approaches where upcoming games are incorporated, e.g. for SOV, SOS etc.

Sebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · 7d

dwight schrute is wearing glasses and a suit and tie .

ALT: dwight schrute is wearing glasses and a suit and tie .

media.tenor.com

Reposted by Sebastian Carl

Sebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · 8d

Has Chase Daniel already complained that the Chiefs lost because the kickoff landed half a yard short of a made-up landing zone?

Brian Floyd @brianmfloyd.bsky.social · 8d

don’t want that hilarious game-winning drive to overshadow that harrison butker booting the ball out of bounds set the whole thing up

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Sebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · 8d

Has Chase Daniel already complained that the Chiefs lost because the kickoff landed half a yard short of a made-up landing zone?

Brian Floyd @brianmfloyd.bsky.social · 8d

don’t want that hilarious game-winning drive to overshadow that harrison butker booting the ball out of bounds set the whole thing up

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Reposted by Sebastian Carl

Ben Baldwin @rbsdm.com · 9d

Updated the look of the box score site (with thanks to @mrcaseb.com)