Manifold Alerts
@manifoldalerts.bsky.social
48 followers 18 following 66 posts
Posts interesting Manifold Markets.
Posts Media Videos Starter Packs
A surprisingly controversial question!
Transcription by ChatGPT:

**US Politics · Politics · Trump's Second Term · JB Pritzker**

**Tabs:**
Comments | **14 Holders** | 19 Trades

---

|   | **YES (7)**   | **To Win** | **NO (7)**     | **To Win** |
| - | ------------- | ---------- | -------------- | ---------- |
| 1 | **MaxA**      | ₳343       | **Xi Jinping** | ₳1,450     |
| 2 | **Anna**      | ₳286       | **Jerome**     | ₳517       |
| 3 | **Mark Fros** | ₳199       | **robert**     | ₳163       |
| 4 | **aashiq**    | ₳173       | **windysou**   | ₳97        |
| 5 | **LoZioPhi**  | ₳79        | **Literally**  | ₳64        |
| 6 | **undersco**  | ₳26        | **Ryan**       | ₳16        |
| 7 | **Br**        | ₳3         | **rigel**      | ₳14        |

---

**Sorting:** *by position*
Market: Will Pritzker, Newsome, or any other state governor attempt to have the state police arrest ICE agents by July 2026?

manifold.markets/JohnDavidPre...
This market has moved to 50%
This market has moved up to 58%.
A manifold market screenshot:

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his second term?
Probability moved 51% → 61%
17h

Quroe 💞 liked your comment on Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his second term?
Donald Trump threatens to invoke the Insurrection Act to deploy troops
https://www.ft.com/content/ee3c2f14-7726-47bb-...

17h
This market has moved down to a 21% chance.