R
@liburghal.bsky.social
130 followers 150 following 1.1K posts
Adopted Northerner ‖ AuDHD ‖ 🏳️‍🌈 ‖ he/him
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liburghal.bsky.social
I know weighting exists for a reason, but given that VI changes with more than age, gender and location should we not be asking how representative the panel is of other demographic types?

Social grade, education level, income and economic activity all have a considerable impact.
Graph showing education level and vote in 2024 Graph showing income level and vote in 2024 Graph showing employment and vote in 2024 Graph showing social grade and vote in 2024
liburghal.bsky.social
But yet you still posted it.

There are many other LLMs that don't generate the words "mechahitler" and that are owned by people who don't throw nazi salutes in public.

Interesting that you chose the one that did.

Also interesting that it seems to support your view on the matter.
liburghal.bsky.social
You posted Grok's reply to you as a way of refuting the claim of the original post.

That suggests that you place some level of stock in the quality of it's contribution.
liburghal.bsky.social
Curious as to the understanding of an AI that had the ability to generate the word "mechahitler" and "Gigajew", one that is controlled by a man who threw a nazi salute.

Asked and posted because you thought it was a good dunk on someone making well founded points.

It's a strategy, not curiosity.
Screenshots of Grok on twitter containing the phrase Mecha Hitler and Gigajew Elon Musk throwing a nazi salute
liburghal.bsky.social
A "socialist" posting a screenshot of a Twitter reply from an AI created and controlled by Elon "I've Paid Tommy Robinson's Legal Fees" Musk is certainly a strategy.
liburghal.bsky.social
That dive at the higher end for the Greens, and the slow droop for the Lib Dem feels contrary to general understanding.
liburghal.bsky.social
Digital ID, whatever one might think of it, was a policy that was born out a government that was on the back foot over a policy territory.

It felt rushed and ill-thought-through, a reactive creation without the background stability from which strong communication can be founded.
liburghal.bsky.social
Gonna get here before @stephenkb.bsky.social...

"ITS NEVER THE COMMS"
adampayne26.bsky.social
The AI minister says the digital ID announcement is an e.g of where gov must up its online comms game:

“To be able to make sure that when a significant thing is happening, like an announcement on digital ID, we're winning the battle of ideas and arguments…” he tells @zoecrowther.bsky.social
Government Must Do 'A Lot More' To Sell Its Policies Online, Says AI Minister
The minister for artificial intelligence has said the government needs to do “a lot more to win the battle of content online”.
www.politicshome.com
liburghal.bsky.social
I saw your "quibbling" comment only after I pressed send on mine.

Would we have seen a Torsten Bell in Swansea West or Chris McDonald in Stockton North had the result not been nailed on?
liburghal.bsky.social
It isn't a bad thing as too many cooks can spoil the geopolitical broth.

My comment was more an expansion with consideration as to how a fractured political landscape under FPTP could increasingly lead to a Commons of campaigners due to a lack of safe seats for experts to be dropped into.
liburghal.bsky.social
Important observation by @stephenkb.bsky.social, and one that makes me worry for the future if something doesn't change.

Not to root it in my "FPTP Theory of Everything" but I can't see it getting better given the increasingly fractious political landscape and the desire for campaigners over wonks.
philipjcowley.bsky.social
This brutal drive-by is in young @stephenkb.bsky.social's FT newsletter...
liburghal.bsky.social
Like a bad game of Wavelength.

"From Batman to Paddington, which position is Star Wars: Rogue One"
liburghal.bsky.social
Don't get me started on the "We don't whip" nonsense...
liburghal.bsky.social
My comment was not, in any way, a dunk.

It may be one of the reasons that I am not a member of the Labour party, but the honest approach to ignoring the membership is weirdly refreshing.
liburghal.bsky.social
"Blair and Clegg host Tech Boss dinner giving access to health ministers" - 😬

"Blair and Clegg host Tech Boss dinner giving access to investment minister" - 🤷🏽
liburghal.bsky.social
The age old tactic of reading policy and motions passed at conference in the most vague way possible, then stretching parts and glossing over others to make it fit with the leader's ideas.

At least Labour have zero pretense over this.
liburghal.bsky.social
Given the explosion of VI polling in the UK and the increasing nature of political coverage being about the politics rather than policy it would be good to Find Out. Now wouldn't it?
liburghal.bsky.social
It is an important distinction though.

Difficult to win elections when your policy direction is driven by members who exist in echo chambers and really need to go out and touch grass (otherwise known as talking to Joe Public).
liburghal.bsky.social
I think that the pronounced Reform and Green bias comes either from their panel being particularly apathetic and undecided or weighting more aggressively for enthusiasm.

Green and Reform voters are more enthused right now so are boosted by their methodology.
liburghal.bsky.social
That's the other distinction, members =/= activists.

It's more likely the case in left-of-centre democratic parties but I theorise that the greater the member:activist ratio the more likely the more likely policy is to be disengaged from the public.
liburghal.bsky.social
Members =/= Success.

The Lib Dems had their highest membership post the Brexit Referendum in 2016, they had two poor election results.

Labour's membership peaked in 2019, I wonder how that election went for them.

Armchair members don't win elections, and can often bring parties down.
liburghal.bsky.social
Just the fact the Bishop addresses him as "Robert", avoiding his surname and omitting "MP" shows the strength of this letter.
sundersays.bsky.social
The Bishop of Birmingham has written to the Shadow Justice Secretary Robert Jenrick about his comments about Handsworth
liburghal.bsky.social
A unique way of announcing a by-election from Robert Jenrick here...
adambienkov.bsky.social
"Hello to my friends at Greggs at Peterborough North services. You might see me later this week," says Robert Jenrick
Reposted by R
liburghal.bsky.social
The dull grind of institutional failure that creeps on is not "interesting", a quick snap shock story is.

Thank god we have Private Eye.