Lightnews — Scholar-powered news

Effectively Wild Stats @ewstats.com · 12d

Getting just five minutes into Episode 2383

a man with a beard is wearing a suit and tie and looking at something .

Alt: Charlie Day saying "I'm sorry... what?"

media.tenor.com

11

Effectively Wild Stats @ewstats.com · 16d

Me now that exactly zero preseason predictions directly involve the postseason

three images of a man sitting or standing alone, doing nothing, looking bored and trapped in his own thoughts

1 10

Effectively Wild Stats @ewstats.com · 16d

a cartoon of two dogs standing next to each other with the words hooray on the bottom

Alt: Bluey saying HOORAY!

media.tenor.com

1

Effectively Wild Stats @ewstats.com · 16d

Your updated listener leaderboard:

Benjamin Hammler - 3,980
Tyler Green - 3,798
Alex Isherwood - 3,727
Turquoise - 3,563
Billy Dennis - 3,562
Charlie - 3,536
Davy Andrews - 3,523
T.J. Krafnick - 3,514
David Graber - 3,491
Ty - 3,442

3

Effectively Wild Stats @ewstats.com · 16d

The Cubs doubling the Bears in September predictions is hereby declared FALSE.

10

Effectively Wild Stats @ewstats.com · 16d

First time ever!

1

Effectively Wild Stats @ewstats.com · 16d

...and because I know you're wondering: The Cubs record for runs scored at Wrigley Field is 26.

(h/t EWStats lead stat nerd and occasional StatBlast consultant Michael Mountain)

4

Effectively Wild Stats @ewstats.com · 16d

Okay yeah that would be pretty funny

Andy Thomas @andysport.bsky.social · 16d

The Cubs have the opportunity to do the funniest thing (score 84 runs)

2

Effectively Wild Stats @ewstats.com · 16d

And now we patiently await the result of the Cubs game since we technically need to allow for the possibility that they score 85 runs before closing our next prediction

a man with a star trek uniform says it is possible

Alt: Data from ST:TNG saying "It is possible"

media.tenor.com

2 4

Effectively Wild Stats @ewstats.com · 16d

Lost in the shuffle of prediction chaos of the last couple days:

Ben Lindbergh is your 2025 Minor League Free Agent Draft Champion!

@benlindbergh.bsky.social - 1594
@megrowler.fangraphs.com - 1163
@benclemens.bsky.social - 208

Full ballot stats at ewstats.com!

1 1 12

Effectively Wild Stats @ewstats.com · 17d

Slight update: We're pretty sure the <94% sac fly success rate is FALSE. However, we're seeing noise in the data on Baseball Savant, and are awaiting confirmation from far more qualified sources who are generously helping to analyze the data.

3

Effectively Wild Stats @ewstats.com · 17d

New Top 10 leaderboard:

Benjamin Hammler - 3,853
Billy Dennis - 3,562
Tyler Green - 3,548
Alex Isherwood - 3,500
Turquoise - 3,320
Charlie - 3,296
Davy Andrews - 3,273
T.J. Krafnick - 3,273
David Graber - 3,241
Ty - 3,192

1 1 5

Effectively Wild Stats @ewstats.com · 17d

It's a bit delayed, but after internal discussion I am now ready to declare Meg's prediction of two teams announcing new controlling ownership as TRUE... with a caveat.

If the White Sox deal should ever fall through, Meg's points earned on this prediction will be deducted from that year's contest.

7

Effectively Wild Stats @ewstats.com · 17d

Fun fact: 1,084 out of the 1,556 ballots are currently in the black! (Just under 70%, nice)

3

Reposted by Effectively Wild Stats

Spooky Mulder Bat Flip @mulderbatflip.net · 18d

This is how I learned the mets beefed it

Effectively Wild Stats @ewstats.com · 18d

The New York Mets— SOMEHOW— have missed the postseason.

POINTS FOR @megrowler.fangraphs.com !

1 7

Effectively Wild Stats @ewstats.com · 17d

We've updated the EWStats website so that you can now see more leaderboard data on your personal ballot URL you were given at the start of the season!

Your current top 10 leaderboard (which includes at least one familiar name 🤔):

Tyler Green - 4,298
Benjamin Hammler - 3,726
Greg Knapp - 3,726
Conrad Berris - 3,717
Alex Isherwood - 3,500
Robert Scott - 3,445
Davy Andrews - 3,383
John Criscuoli - 3,380
T.J. Krafnick - 3,377
Bob C - 3,350

2 1 4

Effectively Wild Stats @ewstats.com · 18d

I have the Bears at 101, so the Cubs need to score 85.

I'd say 'stranger things have happened', but that would be a lie.

Paul Hamann @paulhamann.bsky.social · 18d

@ewstats.com Am I right that the Cubs only need to score 83 runs on Tuesday for them to get to 200 runs for September, double the Bears' total?

5

Effectively Wild Stats @ewstats.com · 18d

Updates to @baumann.bsky.social's ballot:

octopus tentacles holding a blank sheet of paper

1 4

Effectively Wild Stats @ewstats.com · 18d

Updates to @megrowler.fangraphs.com's ballot:

- Isaac Paredes > Kyle Tucker fWAR - FALSE
- Mets miss the playoffs - TRUE
- Nick Kurtz > Travis Bazzana fWAR - TRUE
- Chandler Simpson leads SB's - FALSE

3

Effectively Wild Stats @ewstats.com · 18d

Updates to @benclemens.bsky.social's ballot:

- Juan Soto > Aaron Judge fWAR - FALSE
- Ohtani throwing fastest pitch by a starter - FALSE
- 3 Rockies will have >500 PA, neg fWAR - FALSE
- The league K% rate will be <22% - FALSE

1 3

Effectively Wild Stats @ewstats.com · 18d

(I also believe the <94% sac fly success rate is false but it's a trickier calculation so still confirming)

1 1

Effectively Wild Stats @ewstats.com · 18d

Updates to @benlindbergh.bsky.social's ballot:

- ATH or TBR will not have the league's lowest home attendance - FALSE
- 3+ pitchers will throw at least 20 knuckleballs - FALSE
- A player still steal 80 bases - FALSE
- Guardians will finish worse than 10th in reliever WPA - FALSE

1 2

Effectively Wild Stats @ewstats.com · 18d

We will have about a dozen more predictions to close at the conclusion of today's action, stay tuned!

7

Effectively Wild Stats @ewstats.com · 18d

The New York Mets— SOMEHOW— have missed the postseason.

POINTS FOR @megrowler.fangraphs.com !

15

Effectively Wild Stats @ewstats.com · 18d

It wasn't a prediction, but I feel like "There will be zero no-hitters thrown over the regular season" would have earned a LOT of points.

With CWS's Shane Smith losing his bid in the 7th, that just got clinched.

7