Daniel Byman
Daniel L. Byman is an American political scientist. His research focuses on terrorism, Counterterrorism and the Middle East. Byman is… more
by Daniel Byman
The Surprising Shift in US Political Violence
Left-wing terrorism is up; right-wing violence down. What's going on? Along with my CSIS colleague Riley McCabe, I am tracking terrorism trends in the United States, and we noticed a curious development: so far, 2025 has more left-wing terrorism incidents (attacks and plots) than right-wing terrorism. This is the first time this has ev…
by Daniel Byman
by Daniel Byman
What Is Resilience, and Why Should We Study It?
Resilience is again a buzzword in the national security community, with studies (including my own) looking at how well a country’s political institutions, infrastructure, and societies as a whole absorb, adapt to, or recover from a shock or stress. As people debate Taiwan’s ability to defend itself against Chinese co…
by Daniel Byman
Special Roundtable on Iran
Bold success? Dangerous risk? Distraction? Our experts discuss. Operation “Midnight Hammer,” launched by the United States following Israeli strikes on Iran, has captured the world’s attention. As global audiences watch for signs of escalation or regional spillover, analysts examine to what extent the U.S. and Israeli attacks have meaningfully set back Iran’s nuclear program. In this special post, Blue Blaze columni…
by Daniel Byman
Can Victory Follow Israel's October 7th Intelligence Failure?
This week, Israel’s intelligence penetration of Iran allowed its military forces and operatives to effectively target Iran’s nuclear infrastructure and bases and assassinate numerous senior Iranian military leaders and nuclear scientists—a stunning intelligence success.
by Daniel Byman
Taiwan Watches with Fear as the U.S. Abandons Ukraine
I was in Taiwan in February: just after Vice President J.D. Vance delivered his incendiary remarks in Munich, lambasting European allies on migration and free speech, and President Donald Trump spoke with Russian President Vladimir Putin, agreeing to negotiate on Ukraine without the Ukrainians or the Europeans being directly involved. Trump later claime…
by Daniel Byman
by Daniel Byman
Will the Middle East Be Calmer in 2025?
I’ve never lost money betting against good news in the Middle East, and others learn this at their peril. Indeed, National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan was roundly criticized for saying, just before the October 7, 2023 Hamas attacks, that the Middle East “was quieter today than it has been in two decades now.” Last year proved to be incredibly violent…
Reposted by Daniel Byman
Reposted by Daniel Byman
Reposted by Daniel Byman
Reposted by Daniel Byman
Reposted by Daniel Byman
by Daniel Byman
by Daniel Byman
Reposted by Daniel Byman
Reposted by Daniel Byman
by Daniel Byman
A Trump Research Agenda for International Relations Scholars
As my dozens of devoted readers know (Hi Marty – it was great to see you at Dad’s birthday party), I’m a big believer that academics can do policy-relevant research and that scholars, as well as writing for policy-oriented publications, blogs, and media outlets, can speak to today’s policy issues
by Daniel Byman
by Daniel Byman
Stuff We Got Wrong
Hezbollah retaliation Ed.—Our fellow Blue Blazer Jonathan Kirshner really inspired us last week with his blunt (and hilarious) discussion of his inaccurate predictions about international finance. We starting thinking - what have we gotten wrong, and why? Not yet a subscriber? Subscribe here for free, for access to new and archived posts:
by Daniel Byman
by Daniel Byman
by Eliot A. Cohen — Reposted by Daniel Byman
by Daniel Byman
What Will Change in the Middle East after the Gaza War Ends?
Someday, probably later than sooner, Israel and Hamas will stop shooting at each other and relieved officials everyone can claim there is a ceasefire, even if limited violence still continues. If and when this occurs, the Lebanese Hezbollah may declare that it no longer needs a hot war with Israel in the name of solid…
Reposted by Daniel Byman
by Daniel Byman
by Daniel Byman
by Daniel Byman
by Daniel Byman