Clément Plaisant
@cplaisant.bsky.social
1.1K followers 230 following 2K posts
International Relations | Diplomacy | Turkey-Syria | Et un peu d'@OL. Personal views here
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cplaisant.bsky.social
As we pass the 100-day mark of the politico-judicial operation against Istanbul Mayor İmamoğlu, I've compiled in 3 blog posts a few keys/resources that will (I hope) help to better understand this event (which is not over) :

1) a detailed timeline of the operation ++
medium.com/@Mayis_Sikin...
Updated timeline of the politico-judicial operation against the Mayor of Istanbul Ekrem İmamoğlu…
https://medium.com/@Mayis_Sikintisi/updated-timeline-of-the-politico-judicial-operation-against-the-mayor-of-istanbul-ekrem-i̇mamoğlu-4f02aaa92be7
cplaisant.bsky.social
, above all, a “policy of maximum pressure.”

This position is consistent with the latest statements by Namik Tan, the CHP's “shadow” foreign minister, who emphasized the threat that Iran's nuclear program poses to Ankara.
haber.sol.org.tr/yazarlar/can...
İran operasyonu ve CHP
İran operasyonu ve CHP | soL haber
haber.sol.org.tr
cplaisant.bsky.social
A report that is already causing quite a stir in opposition circles in Turkey. Utku Cakirozer, CHP member of the NATO Parliamentary Assembly, is calling for the development of a grand strategy against the “Iranian threat,” including a diplomatic component and +
www.nato-pa.int/document/202...
cplaisant.bsky.social
In the space of a year, the Turkish government, via the TMSF, has confiscated more than 400 businesses, including recently around 100 linked to Can Holding. The aim? To finance the AKP's patronage networks in anticipation of the next presidential elections.
www.ft.com/content/5c13...
Crackdown or capital grab? Turkey state fund controls 1,000 businesses
Anti-corruption drive transfers hundreds of companies to a deposit guarantee fund in the past year
www.ft.com
Reposted by Clément Plaisant
al-monitor.bsky.social
NEW: PKK leader Ocalan appeals to Iraqi Kurdistan president for help in Turkey peace talks

In a letter shared exclusively with Al-Monitor, the jailed PKK leader asks Barzani to help advance negotiations aimed at ending decades of conflict with Turkey.
www.al-monitor.com/originals/20...
PKK leader Ocalan appeals to Iraqi Kurdistan president for help in Turkey peace talks
In a letter shared exclusively with Al-Monitor, the jailed PKK leader asks Barzani to help advance negotiations aimed at ending decades of conflict with Turkey.
www.al-monitor.com
cplaisant.bsky.social
No surprises here : "The European Court of Human Rights (ECtHR) has ruled that Kurdish politician Aysel Tuğluk was detained for political reasons, concluding that her 2016 pre-trial detention was intended to suppress political opposition and limit democratic pluralism"
bianet.org/haber/ecthr-...
ECtHR rules Kurdish politician Aysel Tuğluk’s detention was politically motivated
Tuğluk, a prominent figure in the pro-Kurdish political movement, was detained in 2016 and spent six years in prison before her release due to severe illness.
bianet.org
cplaisant.bsky.social
very accurate, since the transition to the presidential system has weakened Parliament and given a lot of power to the Presidency.

These same MPs also highlight the increased room for manoeuvre enjoyed by the bureaucracy, although it should be noted +
cplaisant.bsky.social
In her latest political and parliamentary commentary, Nergis Demirkaya notes that many AKP MPs are highlighting the following observation: they are taking the flak, even though they no longer have any power under the presidential system. This remark is +
www.gazetepencere.com/yazarlar/ak-...
AK Parti’de Öcalan krizi
AK Parti’de Öcalan Krizi Pencere’den Perde Arkası...
www.gazetepencere.com
cplaisant.bsky.social
"Kalin’s main advantage lies in his direct contact with Hamas leadership in 🇶🇦 and certain figures inside Gaza —connections that helped him reach those holding Israeli hostages. Such direct communication did not exist before Trump’s decision to bring 🇹🇷 into the talks"
www.ynetnews.com/article/by90...
Turkish spy chief who pressed Hamas: empathetic to hostages, seeks renewed ties with Israel
Ibrahim Kalin, Turkey’s intelligence chief and President Erdoğan’s chosen successor, played a key role in the Gaza talks; known for his ties with Israeli officials, he aims to rebuild relations and ev...
www.ynetnews.com
cplaisant.bsky.social
4) Demirtaş release could increase public confidence in the process, which is currently very low. Today, however, Erdoğan will not release Demirtaş, as he has made it a personal issue
cplaisant.bsky.social
3) the current solution process aims to establish negative rather than positive peace (eliminating the root causes of the conflict and pushing for democratisation). Moreover, while negative peace requires a simple agreement between elites, positive peace requires public consent +
cplaisant.bsky.social
been discussed (the AKP is waiting for the right moment), 2) the development and conduct of the process is left to a small group within the regime, with Ekman referring to the Bahçeli-Öcalan-Erdoğan triangle and emphasising that the AKP bodies are almost not involved +
Reposted by Clément Plaisant
t24.com.tr
✍️ Murat Sabuncu yazdı:

🔴Öcalan siyasette daha aktif olursa barış arayışı hızlanır mı, yavaşlar mı, milliyetçilik yükselir mi?

t24.com.tr/yazarlar/mur...
cplaisant.bsky.social
(the new law on municipal powers should be part of this) and the drafting of a new constitution. In the Turkish government's view, therefore, democratisation seems to be synonymous with strengthening the presidential system and consolidating the authoritarian regime.
www.aa.com.tr/tr/analiz/te...
Terörsüz Türkiye'ye geçiş ve demokrasiyi geliştirme süreçlerinin dinamikleri
Türkiye'nin yükseliş çağını hazırlayacak bu dönemin iki ana aşaması vardır. Bunlar geçiş ve demokrasiyi geliştirme (ilerletme) süreçleridir. "Terörsüz Türkiye'ye Geçiş Süreci" ile "Demokrasiyi Gelişti...
www.aa.com.tr
cplaisant.bsky.social
Erdoğan's legal adviser Mehmet Uçum spoke to AA. He highlighted two points: 1) the solution process and democratisation policies must be addressed separately, 2) this democratisation process must, in particular, strengthen the effectiveness of the state through comprehensive legal reforms +
cplaisant.bsky.social
Erdoğan's staging with the opposition parties during the opening of Parliament, the acceleration of constitutional work (which is obviously complementary to the peace process), the evolution of his language on Syria and the SDF (softer and less martial), the refusal to release Demirtaş, etc.
cplaisant.bsky.social
I highly recommend Kemal Can's latest reflections on the current Kurdish opening. In particular, he puts forward the idea that a second phase of the solution process is beginning, with Erdoğan now taking the lead instead of Bahçeli. Several signs point to this: +
medyascope.tv/2025/10/12/s...
Kemal Can yazdı: Sürecin ikinci ve belki de “final” sezonu - Medyascope
Türkiye siyasetinde DEM sürecinin evreleri, Erdoğan ve Bahçeli’nin rolleri, Suriye meselesi ve Demirtaş kararı analiz ediliyor.
medyascope.tv
cplaisant.bsky.social
Meghan Bodette's very pertinent remarks on Ankara's approach to the peace process : "They are more open to sharing power with people who led armed revolts against them than changing their laws so regular civilian Kurds can speak their language and practice their culture"