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Mike Copage @copage.bsky.social · Jul 25

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Mike Copage @copage.bsky.social · Jul 25

I'm incredibly grateful to my workshop partners and their staff in making this come together - as well as the panelists, facilitators, and participants for their insights and contributions, and the Embassy of Ireland to Australia, and the Ambassador, for their support and his motivating remarks.

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Mike Copage @copage.bsky.social · Jul 25

A more detailed summary of the workshop, and discussions it sparked, will be made available in the coming weeks.

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Mike Copage @copage.bsky.social · Jul 25

I am both hopeful and have renewed energy to work among our partners to advance these conversations in the years to come - and should #COP31 be hosted by Australia and Pacific partners, I look forward to working together to shine a light on the solutions we need and must implement rapidly.

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Mike Copage @copage.bsky.social · Jul 25

This is not just possible, but necessary, to match the borderless nature of compounding and cascading risks we are all facing.

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Mike Copage @copage.bsky.social · Jul 25

My takeaway was that by advancing awareness and sharing the expertise each community, country, and region has developed on its own to these challenges, our response to the risks posed by climate change can be more than the sum of our parts.

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Mike Copage @copage.bsky.social · Jul 25

Our workshop helped bridge understanding between both shared and distinct sources of risk and resilience across these regions. Rather than leave empty-handed, we developed roadmaps for action in our region that can build on the substantial momentum and practical solutions being advanced globally.

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Mike Copage @copage.bsky.social · Jul 25

Perhaps nowhere are these preventative and resilience-building solutions more complex, diverse, and needed than across the breadth of Asia and the Pacific.

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Mike Copage @copage.bsky.social · Jul 25

It's easy to get stuck admiring the substantial risks #climate disruption poses to global peace and security, to paraphrase remarks shared earlier this month by the Ambassador of Ireland to Australia Tim Mawe. As he so rightly noted, we have to get on with solutions.

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Mike Copage @copage.bsky.social · Jul 25

It was a privilege to host a workshop earlier this month in Canberra, on behalf of the @aspi-org.bsky.social, in partnership with adelphi and the Toda Peace Institute, on the theme of "Advancing Climate, Peace, Security, and Geopolitical Cooperation in the Asia-Pacific Region."

#climatesecurity

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Reposted by Mike Copage

Peter Gleick @petergleick.bsky.social · May 14

Every President Since Lyndon Johnson Has Recognized the Security Risks of Climate Change. Then Came Trump.

My article on this.
www.motherjones.com/politics/202...

Every president since Lyndon Johnson has recognized the security risks of climate change. Then came Trump.

Turning a blind eye will only make the United States weaker.

www.motherjones.com

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Mike Copage @copage.bsky.social · Apr 29

That includes making sure future assessments and plans grapple with complex, cross-border risks - much as we identified in our recent report exploring a stress-testing climate scenario for Indonesia in 2035: www.aspi.org.au/report/indon...

Indonesia in 2035: Climate risks to security in the Indo-Pacific - ASPI

By Michael Copage, Dr Robert Glasser, Isabelle BondThe Indo-Pacific region is particularly exposed to climate impacts, and Indonesia, like many countries, will be severely affected by climate impacts in the decade to come. The effects of climate-amplified disasters, combined with the political, social and economic consequences of climate impacts originating from within and across the […]

www.aspi.org.au

Mike Copage @copage.bsky.social · Apr 29

None of this needs to reinvent the wheel - I am looking forward to digging into the National Climate Risk Assessment once it is fully released! - but the bar needs to keep rising in future.

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Mike Copage @copage.bsky.social · Apr 29

Crucially, no government should think a single assessment of adaptation plan is sufficient. Our awareness of risks grows as the science develops, and the intensity of impacts rises with every failure to reduce global emissions.

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Mike Copage @copage.bsky.social · Apr 29

A regular statement on climate risks and plans, in every Government's mandate, ensures public awareness and governance remains fresh and relevant. While Governments have to grapple with many concurrent strategic challenges, climate disruption is sadly a reality for ours and many generations to come.

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Mike Copage @copage.bsky.social · Apr 29

My recommendations build on many have already called for. The next Government should:
· Legislate regular climate risk assessments and adaptation plans, with a biennial statement to Parliament;
· Centralize climate risk governance in PM&C;
· Release public versions of existing assessments asap.

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Mike Copage @copage.bsky.social · Apr 29

@aspi-org.bsky.social's 2025 edition of 'Agenda for Change', a major report on strategic challenges the next Australian Government must grapple with, is now out.

In it, I argue that strengthening climate risk governance should be a national security priority.

www.aspi.org.au/report/agend...

Agenda for change 2025: Preparedness and resilience in an uncertain world - ASPI

By Raelene Lockhorst, Chris Taylor, Marc Ablong PSM, Bethany Allen, Justin Bassi, Dr Alex Bristow, Henry Campbell, Danielle Cave, Michael Copage, James Corera, Dr John Coyne, Dr Malcolm Davis, Dr Fitriani, Andrew Henderson, Jocelinn Kang, Nerida King, Dr Rajeswari (Raji) Pillai Rajagopalan, Ian SatchwellFor more than a decade, which has included the 2013, 2016, 2019 […]

www.aspi.org.au

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Reposted by Mike Copage

Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · Apr 28

🚨 NEW PUBLICATION 🚨

In ‘Agenda for change 2025: Preparedness and resilience in an uncertain world’, ASPI experts analyse the strategic challenges facing Australia and provide recommendations to assist the next Australian Government.

🔖 Read it now ➡️ bit.ly/4izTkUA

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Mike Copage @copage.bsky.social · Apr 17

There's lots of road to travel, very quickly, before COP31 if it goes ahead here - and progress to make on this approach so that it's a success. This wasn't a great start, and it's important to call that out so that similar decisions are avoided down the track.

Mike Copage @copage.bsky.social · Apr 17

Some thoughts here from myself and Blake Johnson on how any Australian Government should approach COP31 post-election - both that it is in Australia's strategic interests, and that those interests are primarily in strengthening relationships with the Pacific.

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Mike Copage @copage.bsky.social · Apr 17

This week PM Albanese announced Adelaide as the preferred city to host COP31 (if the bid survives the election).

No knock to Adelaide, but if COP31 is meant to be co-hosted with the Pacific, then decisions on the host city should be done with Pacific input: www.aspistrategist.org.au/a-successful...

A successful COP31 needs Pacific countries at the table | The Strategist

Australia’s bid to co-host the 31st international climate negotiations (COP31) with Pacific island countries in late 2026 is directly in our national interest. But success will require consultation wi...

www.aspistrategist.org.au

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Mike Copage @copage.bsky.social · Apr 10

...and part 2!

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Mike Copage @copage.bsky.social · Apr 10

Great to join Thomas Oriti on ABC News Radio yesterday to talk about our report on climate risks to Indonesia's security. Take a listen (Part 1 here, Part 2 below!), read through a quick summary here (www.aspistrategist.org.au/climate-risk...), or the full report (www.aspi.org.au/report/indon...)

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Reposted by Mike Copage

Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · Apr 8

🚨 NEW REPORT 🚨

'Indonesia in 2035: Climate risks to security in the Indo-Pacific' reveals Indonesia’s economic and national security interests will be strained by climate risks in coming years, with consequences stretching across the Indo-Pacific.

🔖 Read the report 👉 bit.ly/4i7eyc4

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Mike Copage @copage.bsky.social · Apr 8

That reflex by countries to turn inwards in the face of climate pressure will be a mistake, leaving us all worse off.

We can avoid this by proactively identifying and collaborating on mutual pressures and interests across the region.

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