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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 13h

Wins above what an average FBS team would expect to have against the schedule faced through Week 7, per FEI:
+3.9 Texas A&M
+3.8 Ohio State
+3.3 Indiana
+3.3 Ole Miss
+3.2 Miami
+3.0 Alabama
+2.8 Georgia
+2.5 LSU
+2.5 Georgia Tech
+2.4 Texas Tech

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 16h

FBS vs FBS games through Week 7...
52.6 points/game (fewest since 2009)
23.8 possessions/game (fewest since at least 2007)
2.21 points/possession (down slightly from 2024)

Three line series plots representing Points Per Game, Possessions Per Game, and Points Per Possession trends in FBS vs FBS games by season from 2007 to 2025

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 19h

Average game rating (opp-adjusted single game efficiency) through Week 7:
.938 Ohio St (average performance better than 93% of all FBS team games played this season)
.922 Indiana
.914 Texas Tech
.913 Georgia
.908 Oregon
.904 Notre Dame
.901 Miami
.877 Texas A&M
.861 Utah
.852 Alabama

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 21h

Sounds like you might be a fan of that strength of record set of columns

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 22h

If no preseason projection weight was applied...
1. Indiana
2. Miami
3. Notre Dame
4. Ohio State
5. Texas Tech
6. Alabama
7. Utah
8. Georgia
9. Oregon
10. Texas A&M

Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 22h

FEI ratings and supporting metrics are updated through Week 7 results: bcftoys.com/2025-fei
Preseason projections carry 43% weight for teams that have played four FBS opponents, 33% if they have played five, 25% if they have played six, 18% if they have played seven.

Screenshot of FEI ratings top 15 data table through Week 7

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 22h

Weekly ratings progression for every team: bcftoys.com/2025-wfei

2025 WFEI Ratings — BCF Toys

bcftoys.com

Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 22h

FEI ratings and supporting metrics are updated through Week 7 results: bcftoys.com/2025-fei
Preseason projections carry 43% weight for teams that have played four FBS opponents, 33% if they have played five, 25% if they have played six, 18% if they have played seven.

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 1d

At the end of its opening drive vs Colorado on Saturday, Iowa State faced a 4th-and-12 at the Buffs 28-yard line. They took a delay of game penalty and punted on 4th-and-17 from the 33.

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 2d

120 minutes of game clock since 24-17 OT lead vs Oregon.

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 6d

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 6d

Charted this!

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 6d

Toughest remaining regular season schedule in terms of wins a top 20-30 FBS team would expect to have against it, per FEI:

2.6 Mississippi St
2.7 Alabama
2.7 Oklahoma
2.8 Kentucky
2.8 Auburn
3.0 Vanderbilt
3.0 Texas A&M
3.0 Wisconsin
3.1 Missouri
3.2 Florida

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 7d

Wins above what an average FBS team would expect to have against the schedule faced through Week 6, per FEI:
+3.1 Miami
+3.0 Texas A&M
+2.9 Ole Miss
+2.8 Ohio State
+2.3 Indiana
+2.3 Alabama
+2.2 Illinois
+2.1 Iowa State
+1.9 Oklahoma
+1.9 Georgia Tech

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 7d

13 FBS teams have scored at least 222 points this season through Week 6:
Vanderbilt, Virginia, Tennessee, Texas Tech, Memphis, USC, Indiana, Florida State, Oregon, Missouri, North Texas, UConn, Illinois

RedditCFB @redditcfb.com · 7d

Today is the 109th anniversary of one wild day in football

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 7d

Starting field position differential is an interesting "core" metric. I've found that it does have a positive relationship with team strength, but not nearly as strong as offensive and defensive efficiency metrics do.

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 7d

Interesting to me that 7 of 12 core metrics are "raw" unadjusted statistics and five are "opponent-adjusted" (as in, calculated relative to opponent averages)

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 7d

But I also have more questions!
- Relative scoring offense and scoring defense; I'm curious if these metrics are calculated with *all* game points scored, or only those scored on offensive drives
- Same with points per possession (off/def), yards per point, and plays per point

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 7d

Love digging into these articles every year on the committee selection process, and this one has some intriguing details about the 12 metrics used as the "bedrock of team comparisons".

Scott Dochterman @scottdochterman.bsky.social · 7d

What a CFP selection dry run revealed about college football’s most scrutinized conference room

www.nytimes.com/athletic/669...

Inside the CFP selection war room, the committee has plenty to think about

www.nytimes.com

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 7d

FEI games of the year to date (based on the average of each team's opp-adjusted game ratings):

Alabama 24, Georgia 21
Ohio St 14, Texas 7
Oregon 30, Penn St 24
Georgia 44, Tennessee 41
Texas A&M 41, Notre Dame 40
Miami 27, Notre Dame 24
Ole Miss 24, LSU 19
Indiana 20, Iowa 15

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 7d

"Best losses" to date:
Tennessee vs Georgia (41-44)
Texas vs Ohio St (7-14)
Georgia vs Alabama (21-24)
Penn St vs Oregon (24-30)
ND vs Texas A&M (40-41)
ND vs Miami (24-27)
LSU vs Ole Miss (19-24)
Kentucky vs Ole Miss (19-24)
Iowa vs Indiana (15-20)
Nebraska vs Michigan (27-30)

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 7d

0% weight when a team has played 10 FBS opponents, or when we reach the end of the regular season, whichever comes first.

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 7d

90th+ percentile FEI game ratings vs FBS opponents through Week 6:

4x - Alabama
3x - Miami, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Oregon
2x - Florida State, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Oklahoma, Old Dominion, Ole Miss, Texas A&M, Texas Tech, Utah, Vanderbilt

bcftoys.com/2025-gr

2025 Game Ratings — BCF Toys

bcftoys.com

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 7d

Weekly ratings progression for every team: bcftoys.com/2025-wfei

2025 WFEI Ratings — BCF Toys

bcftoys.com

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 7d

FEI ratings and supporting metrics are updated through Week 6 results: bcftoys.com/2025-fei
Preseason projections carry 43% weight for teams that have played four FBS opponents, 33% for teams that have played five, 25% for teams that have played six.

Screenshot of FEI ratings table of top-15 teams through Week 6

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 9d

FEI ratings aren’t updated yet, they post each week by Tuesday morning

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